With Rates Dropping, Should You Consider Switching To A Variable Rate Mortgage?
January 25, 2008Year 2007 was a crazy year for interest rates. The economists just couldn’t get it right. During the first half of the year, economists were expecting rates to drop. However, by July 2007, the trend reversed quickly. Due to strong economic indicators and higher inflation rates, interest rates shot up by 1/2% in a span of 2 months and another 1/4% after another month. The best 5 year discounted mortgage rate reached 5.99% sometime in October 2007. Many home buyers sought the peace of mind of a fixed (locked-in) interest rate mortgage.
We now know that rates are on the decline as the full effects of the US subprime mortgage mess is now being felt. The Bank of Canada has already dropped their overnight rates twice (by 1/2 percent) during the past 60 days. There are expectations that interest rates may go down by another 3/4%. If this happens, you can expect the prime rate to drop to 5% and the variable mortgage rate to 4.5% (assuming a mortgage priced at prime less 1/2%). Does it make sense to consider switching to a variable rate? Let’s run the numbers.
Let’s assume you have a $350,000 mortgage at 5.99% and there is still 5 years to go on your mortgage. Over a 5 year term, you would pay total interest of $101,810.86. If you were in a variable and rates dropped to an average of 5.0%, your total interest paid over 5 years would be $84,761.94. This is a savings of $17,048.92. If rate dropped even lower to an average of 4.5%, your total interest savings will be even higher at $25,655.12. This savings have to be weighed against any prepayment penalty your lender will charge you.
If you need clarification, please do not hesitate to contact me.
Posted by vancouvermortgage